Southland V Waikato on 2026/08/15

Southland V Waikato on 2026/08/15, 32.0 to 31.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Waikato to win by 9.18, and Southland won by 1.0. That’s an absolute error of 10.2 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.8 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 56.4% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 50.5 and we have an actual total of 63.0. That’s an absolute error of 12.5 compared to a six month average of 14.4. This prediction was more accurate than 48.3% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Southland to win by 0.69, and Southland won by 1.0. That’s an absolute error of 0.3 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 15.1 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 86.9% of my recent predictions.