Canterbury V Northland on 2026/08/20

Canterbury V Northland on 2026/08/20, 12.0 to 36.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Canterbury to win by 16.44, and Northland won by 24.0. That’s an absolute error of 40.4 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.7 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 4.5% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 49.5 and we have an actual total of 48.0. That’s an absolute error of 1.5 compared to a six month average of 14.3. This prediction was more accurate than 94.1% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Canterbury to win by 16.64, and Northland won by 24.0. That’s an absolute error of 40.6 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 15.0 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 3.8% of my recent predictions.