Northland V Tasman on 2026/08/30

Northland V Tasman on 2026/08/30, 20.0 to 10.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Northland to win by 5.35, and Northland won by 10.0. That’s an absolute error of 4.6 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.8 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 78.0% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 50.5 and we have an actual total of 30.0. That’s an absolute error of 20.5 compared to a six month average of 14.2. This prediction was more accurate than 25.1% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Northland to win by 0.94, and Northland won by 10.0. That’s an absolute error of 9.1 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 15.1 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 53.3% of my recent predictions.