Taranaki V Auckland on 2026/09/03

Taranaki V Auckland on 2026/09/03, 28.0 to 12.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Taranaki to win by 11.62, and Taranaki won by 16.0. That’s an absolute error of 4.4 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 15.0 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 80.5% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 50.5 and we have an actual total of 40.0. That’s an absolute error of 10.5 compared to a six month average of 14.4. This prediction was more accurate than 53.6% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Taranaki to win by 7.89, and Taranaki won by 16.0. That’s an absolute error of 8.1 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 15.3 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 57.1% of my recent predictions.