Aurillac V Dax on 2026/09/04

Aurillac V Dax on 2026/09/04, 65.0 to 35.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Aurillac to win by 0.68, and Aurillac won by 30.0. That’s an absolute error of 29.3 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.9 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 13.0% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 51.5 and we have an actual total of 100.0. That’s an absolute error of 48.5 compared to a six month average of 14.4. This prediction was more accurate than 1.3% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Aurillac to win by 0.95, and Aurillac won by 30.0. That’s an absolute error of 29.0 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 15.3 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 11.6% of my recent predictions.