Harlequins V Leicester Tigers on 2026/09/05

Harlequins V Leicester Tigers on 2026/09/05, 45.0 to 21.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Leicester Tigers to win by 3.69, and Harlequins won by 24.0. That’s an absolute error of 27.7 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.9 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 15.2% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 53.5 and we have an actual total of 66.0. That’s an absolute error of 12.5 compared to a six month average of 14.4. This prediction was more accurate than 47.1% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Leicester Tigers to win by 6.15, and Harlequins won by 24.0. That’s an absolute error of 30.2 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 15.3 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 10.2% of my recent predictions.