Saracens V Northampton Saints on 2026/09/05

Saracens V Northampton Saints on 2026/09/05, 96.0 to 42.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Saracens to win by 2.8, and Saracens won by 54.0. That’s an absolute error of 51.2 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.9 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 1.2% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 52.5 and we have an actual total of 138.0. That’s an absolute error of 85.5 compared to a six month average of 14.4. This prediction was more accurate than 0.0% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Saracens to win by 8.99, and Saracens won by 54.0. That’s an absolute error of 45.0 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 15.3 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 2.0% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model