Fiji V Canada on 2026/09/12

Fiji V Canada on 2026/09/12, 45.0 to 29.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Fiji to win by 16.56, and Fiji won by 16.0. That’s an absolute error of 0.6 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.8 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 97.7% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 49.5 and we have an actual total of 74.0. That’s an absolute error of 24.5 compared to a six month average of 14.4. This prediction was more accurate than 18.6% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Fiji to win by 10.92, and Fiji won by 16.0. That’s an absolute error of 5.1 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 15.2 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 64.8% of my recent predictions.