Wellington V Northland on 2026/09/19, 28.0 to 52.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Northland to win by 22.09, and Northland won by 24.0. That’s an absolute error of 1.9 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.8 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 90.8% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 51.5 and we have an actual total of 80.0. That’s an absolute error of 28.5 compared to a six month average of 14.4. This prediction was more accurate than 11.9% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model