Nations Championship 2026

Team Rankings

Club Rankings

Standings

Current Standings

North

Club	Played	Wins	Point Differential	Losing Bonus Points	Try Bonus Points	Competition Points
France	3	2	41	1	3	12
Scotland	3	2	11	0	3	11
England	3	2	48	0	2	10
Ireland	3	2	-1	0	2	10
Wales	3	1	-42	0	1	5
Italy	3	0	-94	0		0

South

Club	Played	Wins	Point Differential	Losing Bonus Points	Try Bonus Points	Competition Points
South Africa	3	3	81	0	3	15
New Zealand	3	3	51	0	3	15
Australia	3	1	29	1	3	8
Argentina	3	1	-2	1	2	7
Japan	3	1	-26	0		4
Fiji	3	0	-96	0		0

Projected Remaining Table

North

Club	To Play	Projected Wins	Projected Differential	Projected Losing Bonus Points	Projected Try Bonus Points	Projected Competition Points
France	3	2.514	45.493	0.277		10.467
Ireland	3	2.26	32.036	0.363		9.555
England	3	2.236	29.224	0.366		9.44
Scotland	3	2.046	21.028	0.438		8.766
Wales	3	1.297	-4.504	0.63		6.01
Italy	3	1.055	-15.794	0.576		4.92

South

Club	To Play	Projected Wins	Projected Differential	Projected Losing Bonus Points	Projected Try Bonus Points	Projected Competition Points
New Zealand	3	2.013	17.691	0.525		8.771
South Africa	3	1.75	12.952	0.564		7.75
Australia	3	0.88	-17.248	0.69		4.412
Argentina	3	0.923	-19.815	0.517		4.361
Japan	3	0.295	-46.191	0.423		1.673
Fiji	3	0.293	-54.872	0.363		1.607

Projected Total Table

North

Club	Played	Wins	Point Differential	Losing Bonus Points	Try Bonus Points	Competition Points
France	6	4.514	86.493	1.277	3	22.467
Scotland	6	4.046	32.028	0.438	3	19.766
Ireland	6	4.26	31.036	0.363	2	19.555
England	6	4.236	77.224	0.366	2	19.44
Wales	6	2.297	-46.504	0.63	1	11.01
Italy	6	1.055	-109.794	0.576		4.92

South

Club	Played	Wins	Point Differential	Losing Bonus Points	Try Bonus Points	Competition Points
New Zealand	6	5.013	68.691	0.525	3	23.771
South Africa	6	4.75	93.952	0.564	3	22.75
Australia	6	1.88	11.752	1.69	3	12.412
Argentina	6	1.923	-21.815	1.517	2	11.361
Japan	6	1.295	-72.191	0.423		5.673
Fiji	6	0.293	-150.872	0.363		1.607

Projected Playoff Results

	Reach Final	Win Final
Wales	100.0 %	77.6 %
England	100.0 %	69.4 %
Italy	100.0 %	67.3 %
Ireland	100.0 %	66.9 %
France	100.0 %	60.9 %
Scotland	100.0 %	59.0 %
New Zealand	100.0 %	55.2 %
South Africa	100.0 %	49.8 %
Fiji	100.0 %	31.1 %
Australia	100.0 %	23.3 %
Japan	100.0 %	21.5 %
Argentina	100.0 %	18.0 %

Completed Match Review

Model	Percent Correct Predictions	Spread Error
Club Level	61.9%	11.7
Player Level: Lineup	nan%	nan
Player Level: Minutes	nan%	nan

Future Predictions

Week 4

Ireland V Argentina on 2026/11/06

Average Margin: Ireland by 10.4

Scotland V New Zealand on 2026/11/07

Average Margin: New Zealand by 3.7

France V Fiji on 2026/11/07

Average Margin: France by 26.2

Wales V Japan on 2026/11/07

Average Margin: Wales by 8.6

Italy V South Africa on 2026/11/07

Average Margin: South Africa by 16.4

England V Australia on 2026/11/08

Average Margin: England by 10.6

Week 5

France V South Africa on 2026/11/13

Average Margin: France by 4.0

Wales V New Zealand on 2026/11/14

Average Margin: New Zealand by 12.4

Ireland V Fiji on 2026/11/14

Average Margin: Ireland by 22.2

England V Japan on 2026/11/14

Average Margin: England by 20.2

Italy V Argentina on 2026/11/14

Average Margin: Argentina by 5.8

Scotland V Australia on 2026/11/15

Average Margin: Scotland by 7.4

Week 6

Italy V Fiji on 2026/11/21

Average Margin: Italy by 6.4

England V New Zealand on 2026/11/21

Average Margin: New Zealand by 1.6

Scotland V Japan on 2026/11/21

Average Margin: Scotland by 17.4

Wales V Australia on 2026/11/21

Average Margin: Australia by 0.7

France V Argentina on 2026/11/21

Average Margin: France by 15.2

Ireland V South Africa on 2026/11/21

Average Margin: South Africa by 0.5

Week 7

France V New Zealand on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: France by 1.7

Wales V Fiji on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: Wales by 10.0

Italy V Japan on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: Italy by 4.2

Wales V Japan on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: Wales by 9.0

Wales V Australia on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: Wales by 4.0

England V Japan on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: England by 20.8

France V Japan on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: France by 23.0

Scotland V Japan on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: Scotland by 27.0

Wales V Argentina on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: Wales by 10.0

Ireland V Japan on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: Ireland by 15.5

France V Argentina on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: France by 16.6

England V Australia on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: England by 11.3

Italy V Argentina on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: Argentina by 3.2

Scotland V Argentina on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: Scotland by 9.8

Scotland V Australia on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: Australia by 3.0

Ireland V Australia on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: Ireland by 10.3

France V Australia on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: France by 11.0

Ireland V Argentina on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: Ireland by 2.0

England V South Africa on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: England by 1.6

Scotland V New Zealand on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: New Zealand by 5.8

Scotland V South Africa on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: South Africa by 3.3

Ireland V New Zealand on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: New Zealand by 1.6

England V New Zealand on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: New Zealand by 5.0

Ireland V South Africa on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: South Africa by 1.5

France V South Africa on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: France by 2.8

England V Argentina on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: England by 13.7

Italy V Fiji on 2026-11-26

Average Margin: Italy by 5.8