United Rugby Championship 25/26
Team Rankings
Standings
Current Standings
| Club | Played | Wins | Point Differential | Losing Bonus Points | Try Bonus Points | Competition Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glasgow Warriors | 18 | 13 | 141 | 2 | 13 | 67 |
| Leinster | 18 | 12 | 145 | 2 | 13 | 63 |
| Bulls | 18 | 12 | 160 | 1 | 10 | 59 |
| Stormers | 18 | 12 | 160 | 1 | 8 | 59 |
| Ulster | 19 | 9 | 74 | 4 | 10 | 54 |
| Connacht | 18 | 10 | 47 | 4 | 10 | 54 |
| Munster | 18 | 11 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 54 |
| Lions | 18 | 10 | 59 | 3 | 8 | 53 |
| Cardiff Rugby | 18 | 11 | -19 | 4 | 3 | 51 |
| Sharks | 18 | 8 | 39 | 3 | 9 | 46 |
| Edinburgh | 19 | 7 | -77 | 4 | 6 | 40 |
| Ospreys | 18 | 7 | -78 | 3 | 4 | 39 |
| Benetton Treviso | 18 | 6 | -166 | 1 | 4 | 33 |
| Scarlets | 18 | 4 | -99 | 5 | 3 | 28 |
| Dragons | 18 | 3 | -131 | 4 | 3 | 27 |
| Zebre | 18 | 2 | -275 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
Projected Remaining Table
| Club | To Play | Projected Wins | Projected Differential | Projected Losing Bonus Points | Projected Try Bonus Points | Projected Competition Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | 1 | 0.846 | 7.807 | 0.105 | 3.537 | |
| Connacht | 1 | 0.812 | 7.568 | 0.135 | 3.425 | |
| Stormers | 1 | 0.594 | 2.189 | 0.257 | 2.723 | |
| Bulls | 1 | 0.361 | -2.189 | 0.342 | 1.876 | |
| Scarlets | 1 | 0.167 | -7.568 | 0.33 | 1.04 | |
| Sharks | 1 | 0.13 | -7.807 | 0.32 | 0.888 |
Projected Total Table
| Club | Played | Wins | Point Differential | Losing Bonus Points | Try Bonus Points | Competition Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glasgow Warriors | 18 | 13 | 141 | 2 | 13 | 67 |
| Leinster | 18 | 12 | 145 | 2 | 13 | 63 |
| Stormers | 19 | 12.594 | 162.189 | 1.257 | 8 | 61.723 |
| Bulls | 19 | 12.361 | 157.811 | 1.342 | 10 | 60.876 |
| Connacht | 19 | 10.812 | 54.568 | 4.135 | 10 | 57.425 |
| Lions | 19 | 10.846 | 66.807 | 3.105 | 8 | 56.537 |
| Ulster | 19 | 9 | 74 | 4 | 10 | 54 |
| Munster | 18 | 11 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 54 |
| Cardiff Rugby | 18 | 11 | -19 | 4 | 3 | 51 |
| Sharks | 19 | 8.13 | 31.193 | 3.32 | 9 | 46.888 |
| Edinburgh | 19 | 7 | -77 | 4 | 6 | 40 |
| Ospreys | 18 | 7 | -78 | 3 | 4 | 39 |
| Benetton Treviso | 18 | 6 | -166 | 1 | 4 | 33 |
| Scarlets | 19 | 4.167 | -106.568 | 5.33 | 3 | 29.04 |
| Dragons | 18 | 3 | -131 | 4 | 3 | 27 |
| Zebre | 18 | 2 | -275 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
Projected Playoff Results
| Reach Quarterfinal | Win Quarterfinal | Reach Semifinal | Win Semifinal | Reach Final | Win Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leinster | 100.0 % | 100.0 % | 100.0 % | 100.0 % | 100.0 % | 100.0 % |
| Bulls | 100.0 % | 100.0 % | 100.0 % | 100.0 % | 100.0 % | 0.0 % |
| Glasgow Warriors | 100.0 % | 100.0 % | 100.0 % | 0.0 % | 0.0 % | 0.0 % |
| Stormers | 100.0 % | 100.0 % | 100.0 % | 0.0 % | 0.0 % | 0.0 % |
| Connacht | 100.0 % | 0.0 % | 0.0 % | 0.0 % | 0.0 % | 0.0 % |
| Munster | 100.0 % | 0.0 % | 0.0 % | 0.0 % | 0.0 % | 0.0 % |
| Cardiff Rugby | 100.0 % | 0.0 % | 0.0 % | 0.0 % | 0.0 % | 0.0 % |
| Lions | 100.0 % | 0.0 % | 0.0 % | 0.0 % | 0.0 % | 0.0 % |
Completed Match Review
| Model | Percent Correct Predictions | Spread Error |
|---|---|---|
| Club Level | 65.2% | 12.3 |
| Player Level: Lineup | nan% | nan |
| Player Level: Minutes | nan% | nan |
Future Predictions
Week 20
Connacht V Scarlets on 2025/10/04
Average Margin: Connacht by 7.6
Week 21
Bulls V Stormers on 2025/12/25
Average Margin: Stormers by 2.2
Lions V Sharks on 2025/12/25
Average Margin: Lions by 7.8
