Bay of Plenty V Hawke's Bay on 2026/09/19, 32.0 to 17.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Hawke’s Bay to win by 1.68, and Bay of Plenty won by 15.0. That’s an absolute error of 16.7 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.8 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 35.3% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 49.5 and we have an actual total of 49.0. That’s an absolute error of 0.5 compared to a six month average of 14.4. This prediction was more accurate than 97.9% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Bay of Plenty to win by 3.54, and Bay of Plenty won by 15.0. That’s an absolute error of 11.5 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 15.1 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 42.6% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model