Clermont Auvergne V Castres Olympique on 2026/09/26, 20.0 to 6.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Clermont Auvergne to win by 8.5, and Clermont Auvergne won by 14.0. That’s an absolute error of 5.5 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.8 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 74.6% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 52.5 and we have an actual total of 26.0. That’s an absolute error of 26.5 compared to a six month average of 14.8. This prediction was more accurate than 15.3% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Clermont Auvergne to win by 15.77, and Clermont Auvergne won by 14.0. That’s an absolute error of 1.8 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 15.0 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 69.0% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model