Exeter Chiefs V Gloucester Rugby on 2026/09/26, 24.0 to 45.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Exeter Chiefs to win by 13.25, and Gloucester Rugby won by 21.0. That’s an absolute error of 34.2 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.8 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 8.2% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 50.5 and we have an actual total of 69.0. That’s an absolute error of 18.5 compared to a six month average of 14.8. This prediction was more accurate than 31.2% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Exeter Chiefs to win by 15.17, and Gloucester Rugby won by 21.0. That’s an absolute error of 36.2 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 15.0 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 5.7% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model