Leicester Tigers V Saracens on 2026/09/27, 38.0 to 40.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Leicester Tigers to win by 7.22, and Saracens won by 2.0. That’s an absolute error of 9.2 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.8 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 59.5% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 50.5 and we have an actual total of 78.0. That’s an absolute error of 27.5 compared to a six month average of 14.8. This prediction was more accurate than 13.7% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Leicester Tigers to win by 7.12, and Saracens won by 2.0. That’s an absolute error of 9.1 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 15.0 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 44.5% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model