Newcastle Red Bulls V Leicester Tigers on 2026/10/03, 19.0 to 24.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Leicester Tigers to win by 7.11, and Leicester Tigers won by 5.0. That’s an absolute error of 2.1 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.6 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 89.3% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 51.5 and we have an actual total of 43.0. That’s an absolute error of 8.5 compared to a six month average of 14.9. This prediction was more accurate than 63.6% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Newcastle Red Bulls to win by 4.27, and Leicester Tigers won by 5.0. That’s an absolute error of 9.3 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 14.9 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 42.8% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model