Leinster V Cardiff Rugby on 2026/10/10, 29.0 to 5.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Leinster to win by 13.3, and Leinster won by 24.0. That’s an absolute error of 10.7 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.6 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 54.0% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 46.5 and we have an actual total of 34.0. That’s an absolute error of 12.5 compared to a six month average of 14.9. This prediction was more accurate than 49.4% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Leinster to win by 14.99, and Leinster won by 24.0. That’s an absolute error of 9.0 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 14.8 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 43.1% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model