Worcester Warriors V Nottingham on 2026/10/10, 49.0 to 24.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Worcester Warriors to win by 12.13, and Worcester Warriors won by 25.0. That’s an absolute error of 12.9 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.6 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 46.7% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 52.5 and we have an actual total of 73.0. That’s an absolute error of 20.5 compared to a six month average of 14.9. This prediction was more accurate than 25.8% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Worcester Warriors to win by 9.74, and Worcester Warriors won by 25.0. That’s an absolute error of 15.3 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 14.8 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 29.1% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model