Newcastle Red Bulls V Sale Sharks on 2026/10/23, 17.0 to 3.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Sale Sharks to win by 4.24, and Newcastle Red Bulls won by 14.0. That’s an absolute error of 18.2 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.4 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 31.8% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 46.5 and we have an actual total of 20.0. That’s an absolute error of 26.5 compared to a six month average of 14.9. This prediction was more accurate than 15.5% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Newcastle Red Bulls to win by 3.59, and Newcastle Red Bulls won by 14.0. That’s an absolute error of 10.4 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 14.5 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 43.6% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model