Brive V Dax on 2026/11/06, 71.0 to 28.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Brive to win by 10.66, and Brive won by 43.0. That’s an absolute error of 32.3 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.5 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 8.1% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 47.5 and we have an actual total of 99.0. That’s an absolute error of 51.5 compared to a six month average of 14.6. This prediction was more accurate than 0.9% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Brive to win by 15.9, and Brive won by 43.0. That’s an absolute error of 27.1 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 14.5 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 12.3% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model