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layout: page title: Worcester Warriors V Blackheath on 2026/10/30, 31.0 to 19.0 date: 2026-10-30 categories: rugby “RFU Championship 26/27” match projection —

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Worcester Warriors to win by 25.49, and Worcester Warriors won by 12.0. That’s an absolute error of 13.5 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.5 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 45.2% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 51.5 and we have an actual total of 50.0. That’s an absolute error of 1.5 compared to a six month average of 14.8. This prediction was more accurate than 92.9% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Worcester Warriors to win by 12.0, and Worcester Warriors won by 12.0. That’s an absolute error of 0.0 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 14.5 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 82.5% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model