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layout: page title: Bulls V Scarlets on 2026/10/31, 54.0 to 26.0 date: 2026-10-31 categories: rugby “United Rugby Championship 26/27” match projection —

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Bulls to win by 16.6, and Bulls won by 28.0. That’s an absolute error of 11.4 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.5 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 52.0% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 50.5 and we have an actual total of 80.0. That’s an absolute error of 29.5 compared to a six month average of 14.8. This prediction was more accurate than 10.6% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Bulls to win by 16.79, and Bulls won by 28.0. That’s an absolute error of 11.2 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 14.5 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 41.5% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model