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layout: page title: Northampton Saints V Gloucester Rugby on 2026/10/31, 28.0 to 14.0 date: 2026-10-31 categories: rugby “Gallagher Premiership 26/27” match projection —

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Northampton Saints to win by 7.18, and Northampton Saints won by 14.0. That’s an absolute error of 6.8 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.5 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 68.9% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 53.5 and we have an actual total of 42.0. That’s an absolute error of 11.5 compared to a six month average of 14.8. This prediction was more accurate than 52.7% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Northampton Saints to win by 5.72, and Northampton Saints won by 14.0. That’s an absolute error of 8.3 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 14.5 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 49.4% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model