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layout: page title: United States of America V Australia A on 2026/10/31, 0.0 to 52.0 date: 2026-10-31 categories: rugby “International Test Match 2026” match projection —

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Australia A to win by 14.58, and Australia A won by 52.0. That’s an absolute error of 37.4 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.5 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 5.0% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 48.5 and we have an actual total of 52.0. That’s an absolute error of 3.5 compared to a six month average of 14.8. This prediction was more accurate than 85.9% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model