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layout: page title: Montpellier Herault V Castres Olympique on 2026/11/01, 69.0 to 10.0 date: 2026-11-01 categories: rugby “Top 14 26/27” match projection —

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Montpellier Herault to win by 15.32, and Montpellier Herault won by 59.0. That’s an absolute error of 43.7 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.5 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 2.5% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 45.5 and we have an actual total of 79.0. That’s an absolute error of 33.5 compared to a six month average of 14.8. This prediction was more accurate than 7.0% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model