HEADERSTART

HEADERSTART

layout: page title: Suresnes V Mont-de-Marsan on 2026/11/06 date: 2026-11-06 categories: rugby “Nationale 26/27” match review —

Club Level Predictions

The first set of predictions treats a club as the smallest object, as the club develops its members, organizes a gameplan, and deploys its players as needed for each match. This club model is currently predicting Suresnes to win by 0.53.

Our Over/Under is 44.5 - and combined with the spread above, we have a predicted scoreline of 23 to 22

Each club has a rating and a rating deviation (similar to a Glicko rating), and expected performances can be generated. This allows for simulated matches and spreads like the ones below.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model