HEADERSTART

HEADERSTART

layout: page title: Wales V New Zealand on 2026/11/14 date: 2026-11-14 categories: rugby “Nations Championship 2026” match review —

Club Level Predictions

The first set of predictions treats a club as the smallest object, as the club develops its members, organizes a gameplan, and deploys its players as needed for each match. This club model is currently predicting New Zealand to win by 13.13.

Our Over/Under is 49.5 - and combined with the spread above, we have a predicted scoreline of 18 to 31

Each club has a rating and a rating deviation (similar to a Glicko rating), and expected performances can be generated. This allows for simulated matches and spreads like the ones below.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model